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A mixed year for Asian residential property in 2006, according to Global Property Guide

a mixed year for Asian residential property in 2006, according to Global Property Guide Winner: Singapore, South Korea and the Philippines

Singapore experience more residential high Asia house prices rising in 2006, the house rises 9.5% in real terms (adjusted for inflation) prices.

There were also increases of 9.3% in real terms real house prices in South Korea, and 9.1% increase in property prices in the Philippines. These were observed in the Global Property Guide House Price Indices, the largest collection of price indices for residential real estate.

strong Singapore 2006 GDP growth to 7.9%, pushed up demand for goods in Singapore. The Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA private) residential property price index rose in real terms by 10% (9.5%) in 2006.

South Korea also saw a strong upswing in house prices, press, despite continuing efforts by the government to the market. Kookmin Bank Home Price Index in December 2006 increased in real terms by 11.6% (9.3%) over the previous year.

the Philippines was to continue the strong economic growth and low inflation rates on the recovery of real estate. In addition, the demand for Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) and dual citizenship has been strong, pushing prices. Luxury condominium prices in the Philippines rose in real terms by 15% (9%) in 2006, following an increase of 11% of nominal prices in 2005, according to Colliers International.

real estate market in Japan in 2006 continued to decline, despite repeated attempts by the media represent the market as a rally. However, residential urban land price index fell less in 2006 (-2.8%) compared to the previous year (-4.7%).

Hong Kong property market turned negative (-2.13%) in 2006, after impressive gains in 2004 (27%) and 2005 (8%). higher interest rates in the U.S., mirror directly in Hong Kong, were a major cause of the crisis.

messy political crisis in Taiwan seems to have frozen residential prices, with 0% appreciation during 2006. In real terms, Taiwan has experienced a decline in property prices in 2006 (-1.7%). During the three years increased from the second quarter of 2006, Taiwan’s Sinyi House Price Index by 17%.

In Malaysia, house prices have not kept pace with inflation. Malaysian house prices are now at that level in 1995 real

Thailand has seen the end of the termination of its strong post-Asian crisis property market recovery, as the political crisis impacts the economy. Property prices rose by just 1.9% in 2006 (-2.4% in real terms), after 2005, real price increase of 7% (1.5%), and 2004 growth to 9% (6% in real terms).

Indonesia has managed to reduce 4Q 2006 inflation to 6% from 16% in the first three quarters. With the index of house prices recorded a rise of 6.6% in 2006, house prices rose by 0.5% real

2007 is an election year in Korea, Taiwan and the Philippines, and the uncertainty of policy is likely to increase. There will be elections in Japan and Hong Kong, but they are unlikely to have much impact on the housing market. In Thailand, increases the uncertainty, if the elections are called.

A victory for the party of President Arroyo in the coming congressional elections would be positive for real estate. election year to bring new money in the Philippines, but also more uncertainty. But if Arroyo wins enough seats in Congress will enforce a constitutional change, the removal of constitutional restrictions on the ownership of real estate and companies – good for real estate.

The economic interventionism of left-center President Roh Moo-hyun of the property market in Korea has been damaged. His support is in ruins, while the less interventionist president may be elected in December. But even if the opposition Grand National Party, excessive government intervention gains in the housing market, has a long history in South Korea.

The parliamentary elections in late 2007 a substantial advantage of the fact that the Kuomintang (KMT), the control of the presidency in 2008 by the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) to recover. President Chen Shui-bian, the two terms have been spent largely in order to preserve it before it displaces. large banking and tax reforms have been held hostage by politics.

will be half the seats in the House of Lords appeal in July. can be held seats of the Liberal Democratic Party (LDP) can be reduced, risking his reform program. These seats were won with the help of former Prime Minister Junichiro Koizumi and popular reformer.

Donald Tsang to re-election as Director General in the elections are still largely ceremonial anointing of Beijing is the only significant factor. Pro-democracy activists hope and push for reforms towards a full democracy, Donald Tsang and the failure mean to push constitutional reforms in 2005 that this be his last term.

Thailand. Before you receive a call, and Thailand has returned to democracy, the better for the housing market and the economy as a whole. The fate of the Thai property market hinges junta. If the military junta extended the rule of the market will suffer.

The Global Property Guide sees inflation risks to be minimal in Asia in 2006. However, other dangers threaten the housing market, particularly the resurgence of bird flu in several countries, particularly in Indonesia.

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Asian Property Investment Risky and poorly functioning

Asian Property
Asian real estate markets seem on the surface, recovering from the Asian crisis and back on their feet. enjoyed In fact, the whole world to a boom in residential real estate in the last ten years – United States, Europe, Australia and New Zealand have seen property prices rise.

But in Asia the reality is quite different. Asian markets residential bad, according to a report by the Global Property Guide . Once the price minus the inflation figures, a record in Asia looks bad.

The Hong Kong is still below 61% />





“There are less profitable Asian property investment has been living in the past ten years,” says Matthew Montagu-Pollock, publisher of Global Property Guide .

“And if the current construction boom in Asia will continue to be the next decade is not much fun for both real estate investors.”

rental yields are quite high in Indonesia, Thailand and the Philippines, while Asian countries benefit from strong economies. But has their growing real estate markets “has been limited, especially by the government mis-steps.

” Asian real estate markets would have been stronger not been for the mistakes of government, “says Prince Cruz, chief economist for the ‘ Global Property Guide . “If a coup or a protest runaway inflation, then there is government interference in the property markets that killed the performance.” Cruz study points to the property market in Singapore, Hong Kong and South Korea as victims of government subsidies and intervention, while the real estate markets in the Philippines, Indonesia and Thailand have suffered from political instability.

Despite reports sparkling recovery, the Asian real estate prices are still below the level before the Asian crisis. In a report published shows Global Property Guide , that a combination of inflation, widespread subsidies of housing markets, and political superstructure, have the results very different from the others in Asia ‘ Boom ‘markets. apparent property boom in Asia is a’ construction boom – not a real estate boom, “they say, investors warned

When adjusted for inflation, the picture changed considerably happy with the good news is rising property prices.

Indonesia, for example, is a difficult period of disinflation. Adjusted for inflation, Indonesia, house prices actually fell by 8.4% in 2005 and 7% year on year in 2Q 2006th

mild autumn this year, the nominal price in Hong Kong (3.7%) is increased for inflation. Hong Kong house prices actually fell by 6% real

The (small) price increase is in South Korea, Singapore and the Philippines actually become price falls, or are very moderately priced when inflation

Global Property Guide is a research publication and Web site for high net worth investor in residential properties that provide information about the process and the benefits of buying a property anywhere in the world.

To access the report: p

Asian Property: a decade after the crisis

Asian Property: a decade after the

A decade after the Asian crisis of 1997 broke out, most real estate markets in Asia and on the road to recovery.

Driven by strong economic growth and strong local demand and international prices for residential properties in the Philippines, Singapore and South Korea increased by over 10% in nominal terms on an annual basis to Q1 2007.

Hong Kong, after registering price falls in the spring of 2006, which is above every living index in positive territory again. The index rose 5.2% y-o-y to March 2007. This is considerably lower than the annual price increases for the first quarter of 2005 and 2004 by 21% and 28%.

no bubble Although property prices in most Asian countries is still below the peak levels, rapid price appreciation has been over the past five years, leading to renewed fears that a speculative property bubble is forming in several Asian countries. not

The fear is unfounded, it is sufficient, the spectacular and disastrous property bubbles Asia remember the 1990s.

However, are actually caused the recent price recovery from the previous fall by the Asian crisis and other phenomena. countries

are in fact still below the peak in real terms.

body Strong
The current economic and monetary conditions suggest continued strong demand for housing. All economies of the Asian crisis affected grew by 5% or more in 2006. GDP growth in 2002-2006 was much stronger during the crisis period – 1997-2001, although slower than at the end of the tail of the “Asian economic miracle.”

According to financial and monetary reforms after the crisis, banks and other financial institutions to be implemented now in much better shape. Asia-mortgage market is set to one arm. This despite the fact that lenders fear cautious about exposure to particular sectors (some experts that the banks are actually too conservative).

Despite the recent interest rate increases, in line with global interest rates, base interest rates on mortgage loans are generally lower today than before the crisis.

socio-economic conditions also point to continued strong demand for residential property. strong population growth and urbanization has led to a high population density in different Asian cities.

the relatively small increase in property prices, strong economic growth and banking sector caution and healthy yields As can be enjoyed on properties in Asia, speak another bubble seems far-fetched.

Another concern of the Asian economies is the continuation of reforms to improve real estate efficiency and transparency to. Transaction costs remain high and the property registration is still difficult in many countries.
While Malaysia is encouraging foreign property buyers
the military junta in Thailand has rejected them. Thailand has announced it is to complete a raid against foreign companies for the sole purpose of buying real estate. While the reasons for this move is unclear, the signal is clear “foreigners are not welcome.” Political uncertainty and policy flip-flaps by the junta are undoubtedly hurting the housing market.

the Philippines, proposed property market reforms are languishing in Congress. These laws include the establishment of a centralized agency for registering property and a standard system of property valuation.

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Prince Christian Cruz, Senior Economist
Tel: (+632) 750 0560 Email
: prince@globalpropertyguide.com

Matthew Montagu-Pollock
Tel: (+632) 867 4220 Cell
: (+63) 917 321 7073
E-mail: editor@globalpropertyguide.com

5F Electra House Building 115-117 Esteban Street Legaspi Village
, Makati City Philippines 1229

info@globalpropertyguide.com

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